| 10Y Yield | 4.35% |
| 2Y Yield | 3.84% |
| Fed Funds | 3.64% |
| Unemployment | 4.30% |
| WTI Oil | 102.86 USD |
| BoC Rate | 2.25% |
| GoC 10Y | 3.50% |
| Unemployment | 6.60% |
| CPI | 165.90 |
| Mortgage 5Y | 3.62% |
| Home Price | 201.84 |
- ATLO ATLO 2026-04-15
- MTB MTB 2026-04-15 EPS est. 4.05
- UBOH UBOH 2026-04-15
- HOMB HOMB 2026-04-15 EPS est. 0.60
- JF JF 2026-04-15
- GPUS GPUS 2026-04-15
- ARAI ARAI 2026-04-15 EPS est. -0.13
- MRU.TO WATCH MRU.TO 2026-04-15 EPS est. 1.11
Today’s financial landscape saw a market rally without any actionable signals, emphasizing the importance of maintaining investment discipline. This post provides a detailed overview of the day’s market movements and key events, highlighting areas of interest for investors.
Today, no actionable signals were escalated for either crypto or equity markets. Despite mega-cap tech stocks like NVDA, META, GOOGL, AMZN, and TSLA experiencing a 3-4% bounce, Madison rejected every setup due to insufficient valuation asymmetry. RIOT, which saw a +4.7% increase, was also rejected at a low confidence level of 2/10.
The market’s rally continued without triggering any signals, underscoring the importance of adhering to disciplined investment strategies.
our macro intelligence provided a comprehensive geo/macro morning briefing, indicating a Late Cycle regime with the Fear & Greed index at 21 (Extreme Fear). The CAD/USD exchange rate stood at 0.7270, while the DXY index was at 98.15. Garrison confirmed the US market close with the S&P rising by 1.18% to 6,967 and the NASDAQ gaining 1.96%.
our prediction markets tracker flagged a near-certainty of the Fed holding rates at the April meeting, with a consensus probability of 98.7% for no change. Additionally, the leadership transition in Hungary to Péter Magyar is now 98.8% probable, with potential implications for EU policy. BAM.TO‘s issuance of $550M in notes due 2031 is being monitored, but no immediate action is required.
The situation in Iran, with military operations expected to end by April 15, remains at a low probability of 3.4%, indicating ongoing risk.
There was no LLM spend today, maintaining maximum cost efficiency.
Investors should keep an eye on the Iran situation, with a 3.4% probability of escalation by April 15, which could impact energy and gold markets. The upcoming Fed meeting, with a near-certainty of holding rates, will be closely watched for any changes in Powell’s tone. The CAD/USD exchange rate at 0.7270 is fragile and may be affected by overnight tariff headlines.
The Fed’s April meeting decision is expected tomorrow, and investors should monitor our macro intelligence’s AM brief for any potential regime shifts. No scheduled crypto or equity signals are queued for today.