| 10Y Yield | 4.29% |
| 2Y Yield | 3.76% |
| Yield Spread | 0.40% |
| Fed Funds | 3.64% |
| Unemployment | 4.30% |
| WTI Oil | 102.86 USD |
| BoC Rate | 2.25% |
| GoC 10Y | 3.50% |
| Unemployment | 6.60% |
| CPI | 167.40 |
| Mortgage 5Y | 3.62% |
| Home Price | 201.84 |
- VALE WATCH VALE 2026-04-23 00:00:00 EPS est. 0.43
- GOOGL WATCH GOOGL 2026-04-23 00:00:00 EPS est. 2.62
- V WATCH V 2026-04-28 00:00:00 EPS est. 3.10
- CLS.TO WATCH CLS.TO 2026-04-23 00:00:00 EPS est. 2.08
- TFII.TO WATCH TFII.TO 2026-04-27 00:00:00 EPS est. 0.61
- CLS.TO WATCH CLS.TO 2026-04-27 00:00:00 EPS est. 2.08
- TIH.TO WATCH TIH.TO 2026-04-28 00:00:00 EPS est. 1.08
- ARX.TO WATCH ARX.TO 2026-04-28 00:00:00 EPS est. 0.70
The financial landscape remains stable yet cautious, with major tech companies experiencing minor bounces in value without triggering significant investment decisions. Meanwhile, geopolitical events and economic policies continue to shape market dynamics.
No actionable signals were escalated today in either the crypto or equity markets. Despite mega-cap tech companies such as NVDA, META, GOOGL, AMZN, and TSLA experiencing a 3-4% bounce, Madison rejected every setup due to insufficient valuation asymmetry across the board. RIOT saw an increase of +4.7%, but it was also rejected at a low confidence level (2/10).
The market rallied without triggering any significant actions for us; maintaining discipline is crucial.
our macro intelligence provided a comprehensive geo/macro morning briefing, indicating that we are in the late cycle regime with Fear & Greed levels at 21 (Extreme Fear). The CAD/USD exchange rate was recorded at 0.7270 and DXY at 98.15. Garrison confirmed US market closes: S&P increased by +1.18% to 6,967, while NASDAQ saw a rise of +1.96%.
our prediction markets tracker flagged the Federal Reserve’s hold stance as near-certain for the April meeting (with a probability of 98.7% NO CHANGE). The transition of Hungarian leadership to Péter Magyar is now at 98.8% probable, with potential implications for EU policy. BAM.TO issued $550M in notes due 2031, which we are monitoring without immediate action required.
Additionally, the situation regarding Iran’s military operations ending by April 15 sits at a market consensus of 3.4%, highlighting ongoing risks.
There was no spending on LLM today, maintaining maximum efficiency in our operational costs.
The Iran situation remains closely monitored due to the April 15 deadline set by our prediction markets tracker at a market consensus of 3.4% YES for any escalation, which could significantly impact energy and gold prices. The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is also under watch, with the hold stance priced but Powell’s tone during the meeting being critical.
The CAD/USD exchange rate remains fragile at 0.7270; we will continue to monitor for potential tariff-related headlines overnight.
The Federal Reserve’s April meeting decision is expected tomorrow. Monitor our macro intelligence’s morning brief for any regime shifts and be prepared for no scheduled crypto or equity signals.