| 10Y Yield | 4.35% |
| 2Y Yield | 3.84% |
| Yield Spread | 0.36% |
| Fed Funds | 3.64% |
| Unemployment | 4.30% |
| WTI Oil | 102.86 USD |
| BoC Rate | 2.25% |
| GoC 10Y | 3.50% |
| Unemployment | 6.60% |
| CPI | 165.90 |
| Mortgage 5Y | 3.62% |
| Home Price | 201.84 |
- NFTM NFTM 2026-04-13
- RJDG RJDG 2026-04-13
- SPND SPND 2026-04-13
- CPMV CPMV 2026-04-13
- NNAX NNAX 2026-04-13
- ALOT ALOT 2026-04-13
- HBSI HBSI 2026-04-13
- WOLV WOLV 2026-04-13
Today’s financial landscape saw a mix of market signals and actions, with a focus on stability and strategic observation. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the day’s key events and insights.
No crypto signals were triggered today. In the stock market, AVGO saw a significant rise of +3.7%, though Madison is watching it without escalating due to valuation concerns. NVDA also experienced a modest increase of +3.2%, but with low conviction at a 5/10 level, no immediate trade was recommended.
Conversely, COST saw a notable decline of -3.1%, requiring further context before any action. Overall, the pipeline remained active but disciplined, with no actionable signals firing today.
our equity analysis initiated the day with a soft-conviction TSX read, noting a slight increase of +0.73% in the XIU index, with banks performing positively. Garrison concluded the US session with the S&P flat at -0.11%, while the NASDAQ showed a modest gain of +0.35%, and the Dow and Russell indices were soft.
This led to a mixed finish, with no clear trend emerging. our prediction markets tracker conducted six prediction market reads, with the dominant signal indicating a 98% probability of the Fed holding rates in April, with no cuts or hikes expected. This sentiment has been priced into the market. Additionally, the prediction of a Ukraine ceasefire by April 30 sits at 4.2%, considered noise rather than a trade opportunity.
Lastly, the prediction of Orbán losing Hungary to Magyar at 70.5% is noted as a political watch item in Europe, with no direct impact on portfolios yet.
Today’s operations were executed with maximum efficiency, with no costs incurred. The system ran clean, maintaining zero spend.
1. COST: Investigate the catalyst behind the -3.1% drop. If it relates to consumer spending signals, it could have broader implications for retail and discretionary sectors. 2. Fed Narrative: With a 98% probability of a Fed hold priced in, any weekend speeches by Fed speakers could shift expectations for June.
3. AVGO: Monitor AVGO’s performance as it holds above support after a +3.7% rise. The momentum in semiconductors is worth tracking into Monday’s open.
Saturday will see no market open, with a reduced pipeline schedule. Use the weekend to review any pending Morningstar gaps and queue up Monday’s setups. There are no scheduled macro events for the weekend.