| 10Y Yield | 4.29% |
| 2Y Yield | 3.76% |
| Fed Funds | 3.64% |
| Unemployment | 4.30% |
| WTI Oil | 102.86 USD |
| BoC Rate | 2.25% |
| GoC 10Y | 3.50% |
| Unemployment | 6.60% |
| CPI | 167.40 |
| Mortgage 5Y | 3.62% |
| Home Price | 201.84 |
- V WATCH V 2026-04-28 00:00:00 EPS est. 3.10
- HOOD WATCH HOOD 2026-04-28 00:00:00 EPS est. 0.43
- MSFT WATCH MSFT 2026-04-29 00:00:00 EPS est. 4.07
- META WATCH META 2026-04-29 00:00:00 EPS est. 6.75
- TIH.TO WATCH TIH.TO 2026-04-28 00:00:00 EPS est. 1.08
- ARX.TO WATCH ARX.TO 2026-04-28 00:00:00 EPS est. 0.70
- ARE.TO WATCH ARE.TO 2026-04-28 00:00:00 EPS est. -0.21
- WCP.TO WATCH WCP.TO 2026-04-29 00:00:00 EPS est. 0.23
The geopolitical landscape remains volatile, with significant events in the Middle East and ongoing tensions between the US and China over Iran. This digest highlights key events and their potential impact on financial markets.
– Middle East Crisis: Palestinians vote in their first elections since the outbreak of war, while Israel continues its attacks. The severity level is rated at 10/10. – Iran War: The PLA Daily emphasizes AI’s strategic value for China’s military, and the US imposes sanctions on a Chinese refinery for purchasing Iranian oil.
Both events are rated at 10/10 for severity. – Palestinian Elections: Ongoing Israeli attacks during elections are rated at 8/10 for severity. – China-Russia-Iran Dynamics: Analysis on how China and Russia can exploit the Iran war is rated at 8/10 for severity. – US Sanctions: The US imposes sanctions on a Chinese refinery for Iranian oil purchases, also rated at 8/10 for severity.
– System Update 2.0: Trump warns of account removal for flagged users on April 25, 2026. – Executive Order: An executive order from December 2026 on hemp-derived CBD research was issued on April 24, 2026.
– Smithsonian American Women’s History Museum Act: Establishes a women’s history museum on April 23, 2026. – Baby Changing on Board Act: Requires airlines to provide baby changing facilities on April 22, 2026. – Repealing Big Brother Overreach Act: Seeks to limit government surveillance on April 21, 2026.
– Equal Representation Act of 2025: Aims to increase diversity in government positions on April 21, 2026. – Small LENDER Act: Supports small lenders on April 21, 2026.
– No significant Carney conflict-of-interest flags this week.
– Oil & Energy: The Iran conflict and sanctions are impacting energy markets, leading to volatile oil prices. – Gold & Safe-Haven Assets: Geopolitical tensions are boosting gold as a safe haven. – Tech & Commodities: AI advancements and tech developments in military, along with US sanctions on a Chinese refinery, are impacting tech and commodities.
The Australian dollar (AUD) and Canadian dollar (CAD) trade are also affected. – CAD/USD: The Canadian dollar (CAD) strength is driven by energy and materials sectors, while USD holdings are at risk in CAD terms.
– Short-term: Continued volatility in oil and energy markets due to the Iran conflict and sanctions. Gold and safe-haven assets are likely to see increased demand. – Tail Risk: Escalation of Middle East tensions or unexpected US policy actions could lead to broader market disruptions.
CONFIDENCE: 8/10 TIMEFRAME: short term TAIL RISK: Escalation of Middle East tensions or unexpected US policy actions could lead to broader market disruptions.